Read his full article below:
Back in Manila, it is back to reality. Is the MRT-3 hopeless? A recent column of my colleague Jarius Bondoc, seems to indicate it is. Our last hope, the new Chinese-made trains, is a no-go.
“The
tonnage had been carefully calculated for the tracks to carry daily not only
the 48 new coaches, but the 72 existing units as well. The overweight (900 tons
would have been tolerable) will wear out the tracks faster and consequently all
the coaches’ wheels. Rides will be bumpy, maintenance costlier, and track
replacement more often.
“The
under-chassis are unfit for the existing giant pit jack at the MRT-3 repair
yard.Dalian deviated from the specified dimensions and features to be
copied from the 72 older Czech-made coaches.
“The new units cannot be driven up the
hundred-million-peso jack for periodic inspection and upkeep of the bogey
frames, wheels, and brakes. There is no space at the depot to install a new
jack just for the faulty trains. Mechanics have no elbowroom to repair or
replace crucial under-chassis parts.”
I suppose
this means they are back to square one. Maybe the Chinese trains can be
used in some other China-funded project elsewhere in the country. They can
design a system that works around the wrong specifications. But in the
meantime, MRT-3 is still a big problem.
The Chinese trains
aside, the MRT-3 system is really up for a major upgrade. It has not been
maintained properly for years. The rails have to be changed. The power supply
system needs upgrading. And a new communication system is called for too.
The only
thing still useful is the concrete carriageway. In other words, what must be
done to make MRT-3 function properly is almost like building a new system minus
the carriageway. It is like starting from scratch since almost everything has
to be changed.
DOTr must
think fresh… no longer in terms of rehabilitating an impossibly rotten existing
system, but building a new one. All options must be on the table. The prime
considerations are cost and how soon the improvement can be delivered.
Indeed,
there is nothing that should compel Sec Art Tugade to save MRT-3 as it is
today. My transport expert friends will not agree with me on this, but I think
it is time to think out of the box and do the unthinkable... maybe we should
remove the rails and run BRT buses on the elevated carriageway.
I know…
rails are superior to a bus system, but we have a problem here that needs a
quick and cost effective interim solution. The assumption is we are building a
subway anyway.
I have
been writing about this approach since I got back from a visit to Xiamen some
years ago. The folks in Xiamen were eager to have an MRT system like
ours so they started building the elevated carriageway without waiting for
clearance from Beijing.
The
clearance never came and they were stuck with the empty carriageway pretty much
like the four kilometers we now have at the LRT2 Masinag extension. Since they
have it, they figured they might as well run buses on it… removing the buses at
street level and freeing up road space for smoother traffic flow.
In my
column last May 9, 2014, I proposed “converting the rail-based system to BRT.
Make the buses in a BRT configuration run on the present MRT superstructure… I
asked the group of Francis Yuseco Jr to crunch some numbers and it seems
promising.
“Francis
says replacement of the existing MRT/LRT lines is doable, cheaper and easier to
do than even waiting for the new Chinese rail cars to be delivered. Francis
said his engineers estimate the dismantling, reconstruction and rehabilitation
will cost P20 million per kilometer for both lanes totaling 3.5 meters per
lane.
“Thus,
for a 22 kilometer elevated carriageway as in the EDSA MRT, the total
rehabilitation and reconstruction costs for the elevated carriageway will be a
very manageable P440 million.
“The
coaches carrying 200 passengers each will cost P12 million each. Say, we start
with 100 coaches or 50 coaches per direction, plus your command center of P50
million incorporating your pre-board contact less system, plus miscellaneous
and contingent costs of another P50 million, we’re looking at a total
replacement cost of roughly P1.8 billion.
“Best of
all, Francis claims they can make the BRT operational in eight months. ‘Using
the numbers made by the UPTTC in 1989, using only 92 coaches, we can transport
1,056,000 passengers a day, about double the current load.’”
I
followed that column with another one on Oct. 20, 2014. There is nothing fancy
about an elevated BRT network. It is simply bus lanes with no traffic lights
and travel speed is limited by design to 60 kilometers per hour.
“Xiamen’s
BRT is now 115 kilometers long. There are now five BRT routes in service. A
commuter can expect a BRT bus every five minutes... Xiamen eventually
received approval from Beijing to build a subway system too...
“Imagine
that they are making all that infrastructure investment for a city with a
population of just 3.5 million according to the 2010 Census. But even if the
population of Greater Xiamen is now close to five million, that’s
just Quezon City and city of Manila with Mandaluyong
and Makati thrown in. We are a metropolis of over 10 million…”
We need a
good interim solution while we build our own subway system. Rehabilitating
MRT-3 as it is will take too much time and resources and still be inadequate.
The proposal to put a BRT system at ground level along EDSA may not be feasible
because there is no more space.
Then
again, the legal problems of MRT-3 may prevent government from doing anything
at all. Government will have to negotiate with the Sobrepena group no matter
how distasteful that is. It is after all, government’s fault to have signed a
bad contract with the Sobrepena group.
Or maybe
the MPIC group can revive their proposal to rehabilitate MRT-3, deal with
Sobrepena and charge a fare not that much different from at-grade buses. But
even this, a common sense solution offered during the Mar Roxas and Jun Abaya
days, may be too difficult a step to take for reasons hard to understand.
MPIC may
have to consider other options than MRT because of the urgency and we have lost
so much time. Indeed, Ramon Ang once told me he plans to run BRT units on the
NLEX-SLEX connector road from Balintawak to Susana Heights.
In the
meantime, we are all suffering. It is time for change, a bold action… just so
we can move forward. That is the challenge for Sec Tugade and the Duterte
administration.
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